VOLUME 01: ISSUE 01 (FEBRUARY, 2023)
The Gaia space telescope of European Space Agency (ESA) has released a data set consisting of the speeds and chemical composition of almost 2 billion stars, that gives us a new perspective of our universe. This new perspective has been claimed to have enabled us to look back in time of each stars to deduce the whereabouts and status of each star. The Gaia telescope is located at a distance of approximately 1.5 million kilometers from earth being launched in 2013, has released a set of data comprising of brightness and positions of 1.1 billion stars in 2016 and another set with colours, temperatures and radii of 1.7 billion stars in 2018. The current addition of data now avails us with more information in our quest to understand the origin of stars and our universe. The chemical make up sheds light on where the stars
formed based on the metal they contain, that is obtained through the starlight analyses. The article from New Scientist describes the study findings in detail.
Complete article: New Scientist, June 18, 2022, page 10
The article discusses a latest study where switching off a
gene in the liver using a one-off injection could permanently reduce the risk
of heart diseases, as observed in mice. This technology is called
epigenome-editing where the injection controls the gene activity. Liver cells
produce a protein called PCSK9 which break downs another protein that is
responsible for the removal of cholesterol from blood. Given the protein that
removes cholesterol is preserved by reducing or stopping production of PCSK9
should lead to lowering of cholesterol. Although there are drugs that adopted
this method to lower cholesterol in humans, they require periodic-frequent
injections. Permanently altering DNA to quell production of PCSK9 could lead to
complications and cells becoming cancerous, this new gene-editing methods
claimed no observed complications as such. Should this new method be seen
promising, could solve the issue of cholesterol related diseases in humans.
Complete article: New Scientist, June 18, 2022, page 16
News emerged as an engineer attached to Google had been
suspended, after he had claimed that sentient AI had been developed. This
article that appeared in New Scientist (June 18-24, 2022, page 11: No sign of a
machine mind yet) has discussed the claim and refuted by Google. Sentient AI
refers to the potential of an AI system to mimic human consciousness.
Blake Lemoine, the engineer, had released transcripts of the
conversations with the AI he had assisted in developing called LaMDA (Language
Model for Dialogue Applications), that had consisted of dialogues where the AI
discusses about its feelings of fear, happy and sad based on activities that
never have happened. Lemoine claimed that LaMDA can not only make convincing
conversations, but can also present itself having self-awareness and feelings.
On the other hand, Adrian Weller at the Turing Institute in London claimed,
that although LaMDA is an impressive system, it is no-where close to being
sentient. The article goes on to discuss if the current trajectory of AI with
umpteen amounts of data used to train several models will be successful in
creating an artificial mind. In the meantime, Adrian Hilton of University of
Surrey, UK claimed that he would not believe that we understood the mechanisms
behind what makes something sentient as yet and that what we do in terms of AI
research using machine learning is really intelligence. Weller claims, that
given human emotions rely entirely on sensory inputs, we may be able to attain
sentient systems, but not as yet.
Complete article: New Scientist, June 18, 2022, page 11
The article claims to have observed revival of seven types
of viruses that laid dormant for thousands of years in the Siberian permafrost
(with the thawing of the frost). The youngest of which have been dormant for
27,000 years while the oldest (revived latest) was in the ice for 48,500 years.
Simultaneously, the article reveals that several other scientists have claimed
to have revived microorganisms that were dormant in sediments, ice and salt
crystals for more than 250 million years, which are yet to be confirmed not to
have been contaminated. These ancient viruses have the potential to spread and
infect living organisms including humans.
Complete article: New Scientist, December 03, 2022, page 17
Another news item is discussed in this issue, on carbon
capture, where the United Kingdom has opened the largest facility to absorb
carbon dioxide from the atmosphere to produce sodium bicarbonate. And it was
discussed that we would need more innovative solutions and upscaling to see the
effect of carbon capture on revival of our climate. This article that appeared
on New Scientist discussed about another form of carbon capture. The oceans are
currently the biggest sink for carbon dioxide, while the method discussed in
this news item is to enhance the capacity of the oceans to absorb carbon by
chemically modifying it. This has been given a dangerous warning as this would
permanently affect the sensitive marine environments, while it is thought that
the lack of progress otherwise in curbing carbon emissions, necessitating such
measures. To avoid global warming breaching the 1.50C rise (the
world agreed to in 2015 in Paris), it is computed that a removal of 584 billion
tonnes of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere between 2020 – 2100 is imperative.
This accounts for approximately 7 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide a year.
Planting trees to aid the process of removing carbon dioxide is seen as
insufficient in our quest. Oceans covering almost 70% of the area, technologies
to sequester carbon using the ocean has a potential of removing 100 billion
tonnes per year while the constraints such as feasibility shrink that figure to
5 – 10 billion a year.
Other than ocean based growth systems such as kelp forests,
seagrass and mangroves, iron fertilization is seen as a potential alternative.
Seeding ocean waters with the nutrient iron will increase the population of
carbon-absorbing phytoplankton. The organisms down the food-chain will lock
carbon dioxide biologically. Another scientist David King proposed mimicking
the natural process of whale feces that provide nutrients for the growth of
phytoplanktons, the results of a small scale study is awaited.
Supplying nutrients to the ocean surface are also being
tried through engineering exercises, that mimic the process of upwelling that
naturally occurs in parts of the ocean due to currents. The artificial
upwelling was also intended to bring the nutrient rich cool waters from the
bottom of the oceans to the surface and sustain phytoplankton growth. However,
extensive growth of phytoplankton in ocean waters is believed to deteriorate
ocean environments, mainly by reducing the dissolved oxygen levels and oxygen
diffusion in ocean environments.
As an alternative, alkalinity enhancement is considered for
carbon sequestering process using ocean waters. At the moment, with increased
levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, we are making the ocean water
acidic due to the formation of carbonic acid as carbon dioxide dissolves in
water. Acidification of ocean water reduces its capability to dissolve further
carbon dioxide while also imparting detrimental effect on the marine life
forms. Alkalinity enhancement is believed to enhance carbon absorption capacity
while also reducing the impact acidity would have on marine living organisms.
This technology is in the initial stages and is seen a promising alternative
for our quest. The article discusses the projects that have used these
techniques and the pros and cons each of them harboured.
Another article that appeared on Science (volume 378, page
22 – 23rd December, 2022) discusses this
phenomenon, having completed a study of adding alkaline lime powder in
Apalachicola Bay off Florida, and found that it drew down carbon while also
reducing acidification. This was claimed in the article as the first field
study on the technique known as ocean liming, which also ended up as a
successful implementation of the technique. The author argues that this is a
natural process, and the technique only accelerates the process. This is
further reinstated by the report from National Academies of Science,
Engineering and Medicine (NASEM) that called for $2.5 billion in researches on
similar techniques, more specifically on field studies.
Complete article 01: New Scientist, July 02, 2022, page
48
Complete article 02: Science, December 23, 2022, page 22
Carbon emissions have been blamed for climate change and its
impacts on the environment. While the globe agrees to reduce emissions, it has
always been spoken of to absorb carbon dioxide in the atmosphere to assist
maintain the global rise in temperatures to 1.5 0C. The United
Kingdom inaugurated the largest carbon dioxide absorption project on 24th July, a factory that produces bicarbonate for dialysis machines, pharmaceutical
tablets and baking soda. The news article on New Scientist discusses the
project. The project initiated by Tata Chemicals Europe (TCE) plant in
Norwhich, UK is expected to absorb 36,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide a year
eventually increasing the capacity to capture 40,000. The gas is captured from
a gas-fired power plant. Instead of storing the captured gas, it is purified
and transformed into liquid to facilitate the production of sodium bicarbonate.
The article highlights the incapability of the plant to store the captured gas,
where a fraction of it is turned into gas again. It is noted that this is not
an ultimate solution to the crisis, but a little step towards managing the gas
in the atmosphere.
Complete article: New Scientist, July 02, 2022, page 16
The article talks about time and discusses 9 questions that
bogle human perception of time, including what is time?, why does time only go
one way?, how do we sense time? What affects our perception of time? How much
time does evolution take? can time lead us to a theory of everything? How do we
make the most of our time? Can we live without time? Will time ever end?
Complete article: New Scientist, 18 June, 2022,
page 41
The demand for electrical power is on an exponential rise,
together increasing the consumption of batteries. This causes two issues; one
is the demand that requires unprecedented demand for materials and the other is
the management of wasted batteries, which are toxic to the ecosystems.
Retrieving materials in possibly elemental form does incur a huge cost in the
recovery processes. However, with time this may be seen plausible due to;
1 Unprecedented increase in demand
2 Available of new technologies that make the
recovery process economically feasible
3 Unavailability of raw materials, that in turn
increase the cost of them
The biggest demand for batteries comes from the increased
consumption in electronic vehicles (EVs) that use predominantly lithium, cobalt
and nickel. It has been estimated that the demand for Li will be more than 20
times of that today, by 2050. Simultaneously, the waste amounts to 600,000
metric tons of recyclable li-ion batteries is expected to increase to 1.6
million metric tons by 2030. While recycling alone cannot meet the increase in
demand, it can certainly supply a significant amount to reduce the stress on
mining of raw material. According to the article that appeared on New
Scientist, the laboratories and companies are now in the quest pumping money in
to materials engineering, looking for a way to produce metals in the purest
form, economically. Several companies such as Li-Cycle (Canadian) and American
Battery Technology Company have already increased their capacity of recycling
in anticipation of increasing recovery of metals. Redwood Materials which
recycles li-ion batteries from electronics and EVs, with a new plant in Reno
with an investment of $3.5 billion, expects to produce 1 million li-ion EV
batteries by 2025.
Complete article: MIT Technology Review, Jan/Feb, 2023,
page 48
The article was based on a study where nine people who had
lower body paralysis regained the ability to walk with the assistance of a
frame, after receiving a prolonged electrical stimulation to the injured area
of their spine. The article claims that the study led to the identification of
neurons that can assist the patient improve in the condition post paralysis.
Spine, usually working with electrical stimulations received form brain to move
the muscles and hence facilitate the ability to walk, has been receiving
electrical treatment to relieve pain and in cases to regain maneuverability
given sufficient number of neurons remained unscathed in the injured zone. The
study discussed in the article was conducted by Bloch and her colleagues, who
implanted electrical devices in nine people, six of the patients had some
feeling in their legs with no ability to walk while the other three had neither
the feelings nor the ability to walk.
The findings form the
study: immediately after the first treatment, the patients could walk 25 m with
the aid of a frame in 6 minutes. On a continued treatment over 5 months, in
addition to physiotherapy 5 times a week, enabled them to walk 50 m in 6
minutes on average. Four of the patients could even walk without any electrical
stimulation at the end of the treatment period.
A further study in mice by the same team of scientists by
monitoring brain activity during injury and electrical stimulation and
subsequent regain of activity enabled them to identify the neurons that are
responsible for the ability to walk. These neurons when switched off,
completely paralyzed mice, while when they were switched back on, they regained
the ability to maneuver. This finding outlines the promise of potential
advancement in treatment for paralysis.
Complete article: New Scientist, November 19, 2022, page
25
The article that appeared on New Scientist discussed on how
big a number can get and how to write them figuratively and for computational
exercises. For example, consider the number of sand grains on earth? The study
of extremely large numbers is called googology. The book, ‘The biggest number
in the world: a journey to the edge of mathematics’ by David Darling and Agnijo
Banerjee elucidates the googology by starting from normal big numbers such as
10 billion trillion or the number of ways a pack of cards can be arranged
(8.0658×1067). The book then goes on to talk about the method to
write larger values. One such method of writing larger numbers is Knuth’s
up-arrow notation, which was named after Donald Knuth.
Knuth’s up-arrow notation: consider multiplication as simply
repeated addition: 5×3 = 5+5+5 while exponentiation is repeated multiplication:
53 = 5×5×5. Up-arrow notation uses a single up-arrow to mean
exponentiation, so that 5↑3 indicates 53. Two arrows then mean
repeated exponentiation: 5↑↑3 = 5↑(5↑5).
This pattern continues as such that each new arrow meaning the steps before
should be repeated, resulting swiftly in immense numerical power. The number 2↑↑↑↑4,
for example is so large that it cannot be displayed in digital form.
Complete article: New Scientist, June 18, 2022, page 37
The previous record of recovering 1 million year old DNA in
2021 has now been broken with the recovery of a 2 million year old DNA from
sediments by Eske Willerslev and team from University of Cambridge. This would
assist recreation of the ecosystem that existed in Greenland at that time. This
oldest DNA has been recovered from Kobenhavn Formation, which a series of sand,
silt and mud laid around 2 million years ago. As this DNA was bound to mineral
particles, rather than fossilized organisms, the enzymes couldn’t access and
decay it, leaving it preserved. The DNA comprises mostly of plants (some of
which are still in Greenland) and some from animals, such as arctic hares,
rodents, muskats, reindeer and an elephant relative. This discovery has given
hope that even older DNA could be found in the arctic seas, preserved.
Complete article: New Scientist, December 17, 2022, page
12
Computing one’s carbon footprint to delineate environmental
friendliness of people and institutions have become popular among modern
humans, who have already started bearing the brunt of impact the industrial
revolution had on the environment. No matter how hard we strive to halt pumping
carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, we are set to increase the fraction of the
gas in the atmosphere for several decades to come. The article that appeared on
New Scientist (25 June, 2022, page 11: Food miles matter less than you might
think) discusses on another factor that contributes to carbon footprint. Food
miles simply indicate the carbon footprint of a food item that has been
transported from the location where it was grown to where it was consumed.
Essentially, the longer the food travel, greater the food miles and so is
greater the carbon footprint. In other words, if one person eats locally,
he/she reduces food miles for their consumption, that has inherently less
carbon footprint. The article however, analyses the credibility of the claim
that lower the food miles, lower the carbon footprint, drawing attention to the
carbon footprint of locally produced food items. It was found that the carbon
footprint is not as significant as it was considered it to be between food
items with different food miles. It is worthy to note the following regarding
carbon footprint and food production. The production of the food we eat is responsible for more than a third
of global greenhouse gas emissions and that 20% of food-related emissions are
from food miles. It is therefore crucial that consumers resort to measures that
would curb carbon emissions from their food consumption practices and growing
locally is not a solution.
Complete article: New Scientist, June 25, 2022, page 11
A patient from New Zealand became the first person to
receive a gene-editing treatment to permanently lower her cholesterol. CRISPR
is the editing tool that was used which has moved from labs to clinic in the
last decade. Compared to CRISPR 2.0 (base editing tool), CRISPR 3.0 (prim
editing) allows insertion of chunks of DNA into a genome. The article claims
that this could possibly be adapted to treat blood pressure and certain other
diseases in the future.
Complete article: MIT Technology Review, Jan/Feb, 2023,
page 27
Human enhancement: ‘improving human being beyond what is
considered typical or normal’. This definition includes prosthetic limbs that
outperform biological limbs or drugs that boost cognitive capacities beyond
typical human range. We very well know that such enhancements are proscribed in
sports and is considered a punishable offense. However, research and
development does occur at rapid pace in the science community, which
imperatively calls for regularization. European Commission endorsed a set of ethics
guidelines to be adopted in human enhancement related research, which is now
included in the Horizon Europe funding programme.
The biggest challenge in such ethical guidelines lies in the
very definition of the term, human enhancement. The definition entails,
modification aimed at improving human
performance—as opposed to restoring it. Restoration of human ability to the
natural levels would mean that the human enhancements are applied to physically
challenged people, which is not the case discussed in definition. Furthermore,
abilities may differ, and the term ‘healthy’ and ‘normal’ may not be applicable
generally to everyone. Hence the terminology in ethical guidelines needs
negotiations.
Discussed in the article appeared on Science; Cyborg artist
and activist Neil Harbisson had an antenna implanted and osseointegrated in his
skull which was qualified as human enhancement according to the definition.
However, he had the ability to convert colours and images into audible
vibration, that included wavelengths of IR and UV, which are not visible to
human eye.
Some typical human enhancement research areas listed in the
article are prosthetics, tissue engineering, genome editing, neurotechnolog,y
and nanomedicine, belonging to field of biomedical engineering. Therapeutic or
otherwise, the yearning to enhance ones ability is not new, yet, research and
development in the area needs regularization. The question asked in the article
is that since human enhancement is not part of medicine, laws and ethics
related to medicine may not be applicable. Medical ethics guidelines depend on,
well-being, autonomy, informed consent, equality, justice and (moral or social)
responsibility. Human enhancements on the other hand are required to include,
liberty, bodily integrity and human dignity, which are currently not included.
Complete article: Science, November 25, 2022, page 835
Artificial intelligence has been used in various
applications, trying to mimic human behaviour. Creativity has been considered
as a talent and not even available to all humans (not scientifically proven),
yet, artificial intelligence is now pouted to get into the creative arts as
well. In 2021, DALL-E was released and shocked the world, with its ability to
text-to-image model (in addition to several other tools that even write
scientific articles, including critical review of literature). In this tool of
text-image, it is capable of creating a visual art from any piece of
descriptive text. While Google launched its own image-making AI called Imagen,
DALL-E2 was unveiled in April/2022 with a massive leap forward, as it claimed.
In the meantime, the article claims that the biggest game-changer was Stable
Diffusion, an open-source text-to-image from a UK-based startup Stability AI in
August.
Just like language models, AI trains models based on
available data on the internet, that may have bias. The article elaborates on
the challenge that just like language models, text-to-image generators can
amplify the biased and toxic associations embedded in the training data. With
this technology already transforming in to text-to-video tools, the creativity
is highly challenged with randomness. The article claims that nothing else in
AI grabbed peoples’ interest more in the last year—for the best and worst
reasons.
Complete article: MIT Technology Review, Jan/Feb, 2023,
page 48
The article claims that the emission-free cars and trucks
will likely make for 13% of all new auto sales globally in 2022, according to
International Energy Agency. This trend is expected to surpass 30% by the end
of this decade.
Several causes have propelled this trend, specifically the
government policies. Auto companies are gearing up for this trend by setting up
supply chains, building manufacturing capacity and better and effective
designs. The Hongguang Mini, a small EV with a price tag less than $5,000 has
become the most preferred in the world. The challenges object the trend is
mostly the charging options and battery supply and clean technology in power
production.
Complete article: MIT Technology Review, Jan/Feb, 2023,
page 27
Another story on a plant that changes carbon dioxide to
bicarbonate has been reported in this issue. This is another plant designed to
reduce the CO2 in to methanol has been opened and running in China.
Methanol is used primarily in production of chemicals such as plastics and also
used as a fuel and is naturally made from coal or natural gas. Omat Freyr
Sigurbjornsson from the Carbon Recycling International (CRI) expects that this
plant would curb , tonnes of CO2 a year from the atmosphere. The
estimate includes the emissions from the facility as well.
This facility in the city of Anyang by Shunli captures CO2 from emissions during the production of lime with hydrogen turns 160,000 tonnes
of CO2 into 110,000 tonnes of methanol per year. they contain, that is obtained through the
starlight analyses. The article from New Scientist describes the study findings
in detail. CRI is working on a second CO2-to-methanol site in China,
to recycle petrochemical complex
emission to produce methanol for plastic production.
Complete article: New Scientist, November 12, 2022, page
11
Salt is used on roads in winter, in countries which receive
snow-fall which transforms ice into slush. Addition of salt reduces the melting
point of water. A similar observation could be made when sea water freezes, it
squeezes salt out making water beneath more saltier, which makes lower level
water hard to freeze. An experiment showed that ice cubes covered with kitchen
salt reached –(negative)100C after a few seconds when ice cubes
without salt remained at 0 0C.bLilley Prasher developed a method to
make this process reversible, the idea known as ionocaloric refrigeration. This
idea takes advantage of the large temperature change—and therefore the large
heat absorption—obtained by melting this special form of ice when put in
contact with specific salt.
Complete article: Science, December 23, 2022, page 1275
Can AI models be trusted to shape our future?
Many possible cases could be assumed for the static picture
of a dynamic process shown in Figure, of which, three are discussed here.
Case 01: the base ball player pitching the ball on top of a
bas-ball field
Case 02: a man throwing a baseball at a pitcher on a
baseball field
Case 03: a baseball player at bat and a catcher in the dirt
during a baseball game
For a human viewing the picture, he would base the
conclusive statement he/she would make on the experience they have together
with a logical understanding of the context of the picture. Depending on this
analogy, the first case would be best depiction of the picture, while the other
two would rarely be even discussed. On the other hand, when AI is making a
judgement on the picture, it would have been based on rough approximations
based on statistical similarities to the images that were used to develop the
model, and instilling logic in the judgement is highly questionable. For
example, any human would know that there would be other players in the vicinity
but not in the image, where AI would find it hard to make a guess on that
aspect in making sense of the picture.
AI failing to identify the difference between a man riding a
horse and a horse riding a man may be considered inconsequential in terms of a
risk potential. However, the article speaks about an incident where an AI
driven car failed stop when a man carrying a stop sign was encountered. The AI
would emphatically identify a stop sign in the usual locations as seen in the
training data or a man, which were distinctively well trained and tested.
However, what the AI system failed to respond is when both events happened
unexpectedly (not in the training data). For cases where zero tolerance towards
failures is aspired, depending on the AI is questionable.
The article identified that the biggest teams of researchers
in AI are no longer part of the academic circles and publications where peer
review process is essential prior to publication and rigorous scrutiny at
different levels is inevitable prior to implementation.
The article identified that the biggest teams of researchers
in AI are no longer part of the academic circles and publications where peer
review process is essential prior to publication and rigorous scrutiny at
different levels is inevitable prior to implementation. In the corporate
sectors, conducting researches in the field, bypass the scrutiny process and
this is said in the article as, ‘we see what the company wants us to see’.
These developments by the corporate are only to be used in controlled environments,
given they were developed from fair experiments, which cannot be used in a
real-scale application, which is usually known as ‘demoware’ in IT sectors.
The article states that the deep learning techniques have
advanced the pattern recognition ability in data analytical methods, yet, have
intricately three major flaws, that need attention when implementing.
1. The patterns learnt are ironically, superficial and
not conceptual
2. The results it creates are hard to interpret (often
said to be black boxes)
3. The results are difficult to use in the context of
other processes, such as memory and reasoning (this forbids the general
application of the models, strange to the controlled environment they were
trained with).
The article quoted Les Valiant, a computer scientist from
Harvard university as saying, ‘the central challenge [going forward] is to
unify the formulation of … learning and reasoning’. At the mean time it is said
in the article, that we have reached the local minimum in which companies
pursue benchmarks rather than foundational ideas. What is actually required is
to intertwine logical approach and a more conceptual approach in the
development of the model to substantiate the learning and reasoning in the resulting
models. This reinstates the need for basic research, which depends on such an
approach. The article closes with an example. Suppose aliens learn about the
human behaviour using such an AI system, that was based on the shadows of
humans, what would the replications of the model when implemented. For example,
all humans will have the same colour, and some shadows may change in size based
on the time (location of sun) and worse of all, the shadows may disappear in
nights. The outcome of their model would be uncharacteristic, illogical and
inappropriate.
It could be put, the AI is as intelligent as its training
data, or it is true as of now. The outcome of AI model when treated as black
boxes devoid of fundamental concept, may not be trusted unless it was
experimentally verified. An uncertainty will linger always, that as explained
in the example with a man carrying a stop sign, may not be trustworthy. As
mentioned earlier, specially in applications where zero tolerance is envisaged
from a model prediction, the outcome of an AI model may be questionable. The
way forward would be to instill logical and fundamental approach in model
development.
Complete article: Scientific American, October,
2022, page 46
Frequency and intensity of drought, melting of glaciers and
extreme precipitation events are dynamically changing contemporarily, and how
they will affect the future of water cycle depends on calculation of water
circulation. The warming earth bring more water from surface of earth to the
atmosphere, specifically through evaporation, depleting surface and ground
water resources. With the increasing in demand primarily due to population
growth further stress the water cycle unprecedently.
Intensification of water’s circulation through atmosphere,
land and ground affect the sustainability of water supply. This in turn affect
the water cycle through which the frequency and intensity of events are further
altered. The process of water distribution and conveyance among atmosphere,
land and ground is severely affected by the warming climate that in turn affect
agricultural systems, weather events and freshwater resources. The change in
the water cycle also varies across climate zone, further stressing the cycle in
an unpredictable way. The models predict a drastic change in the extreme events
in the near future.
A paper by Thomas G Huntington et al. in 2019 introduced a
new framework for quantifying the intensity of the terrestrial water cycle,
known as water cycle intensity, is the sum of precipitation (groundwater
input) and actual evapotranspiration (groundwater output) over a time period.
liberty, bodily integrity and human dignity, which are currently not included.
This parameter when analysed together with GIS tools could help understand the
spatial distribution of water cycle intensity. Next steps will have to focus on
finding links between the anthropogenic factors (such as industry, lifestyle
and technology) and their effects on the
water cycle intensification that is occurring contemporarily.
Complete article: American Scientist, Volume 110, page
324
An article appeared on New Scientist (25 June 2022, page 16:
How can we prevent AI from being racist, sexist and offensive?) discusses the potential of AI systems being
based on our inherent prejudices. The article begins with a case speaking about
the biases in facial recognition working best with white people compared to the
black communities. Considering that most AI systems depend on machine learning
models that depend on data., the author quotes from Carissa Veliz from
University of Oxford as proposing two solutions to wring bias out of AI, 1)
vetting the data used to train models and 2) applying filter to intercept any
harmful outputs. However, the article highlights the challenges owing to the
difficulty in engineering the vast data that already had been collected and
that the repercussions may affect the AI systems underperforming in other
domains that relied on the raw data, that included the biases. For example, the
models that are based on images, captions, texts on websites and other sources,
would all inherently include biases, as the human nature inevitably encompasses
that in nature. Predicting if a prisoner would repeat the crime would
essentially require the biases that it may entail in the raw data collected and
tampering or engineering the data would make the models invalid per se. A
youtuber Yannic Kilcher did an analysis based on an open source language model
called GPT-J-6B found that the bias was not as bad as he anticipated. However,
It is also of paramount importance that the biases don’t create unnecessary
skews in the AI models where such biases are not critical for the predictions,
while acknowledging the fact that creating data sets without biases is a
daunting task. The article goes on to discuss about how the biases in AI data collection
may be controlled without violating the privacy of the sources.
Complete article:
New Scientist, June 25, 2022, page 16
Electron’s magnetic moment predicted from standard models
and observations were improved with the new measurement made which is 2.2 times
accurate than before. The new measurement is made at a precision of 1.3 parts
per 10 trillion. The study was done at Northwestern University in
Illinois.
Complete article: New Scientist, October 22, 2022, page
09.
Sweeteners are widely used to replace sugars for low calory
diet. Three such artificial sweeteners used in diet drinks, yoghurts and
desserts are observed to dramatically halt the growth of multidrug-resistant
bacteria, from a study at Brunel University in UK. The three sweeteners
include, saccharin, cyclamate and acesulfame-K, successfully inhibited the
growth of two bacteria Acinetobacter baumannii and Pseudomonas
aeruginosa which are rampant in ICU ventilators and other medical
environments. Resistance of bacteria to antibiotics is a natural process where
bacteria evolves to resist the drug that challenges its very survival. However,
the process is accelerated by overprescribing drugs in humans and misuse in
animals, specially in hospital waste and hospital environment.
Complete article: Science Focus (BBC), January, 2023.
Hear diseases is one of the major contributor to deaths
among humans worldwide and in Sri Lanka. Patients are often administered statins that lower the
cholesterol, but since heart diseases are not diagnosed early, those who could
benefit from such medications do not receive them. Researchers based in
Massachusetts General Hospital have developed a deep learning AI model to
analyse the 10-year risk of a person of death due to heart attack or stroke
from a single image of X-ray. The AI model is named CXR-CVD Risk included
X-rays from 150,000 patients in a prostrate, lung, colorectal and ovarian
cancer screening trials carried out by the National Cancer Institute.
Complete article: Science Focus (BBC), January, 2023.
Guidelines of UK says, 14 units of alcohol a week, spread
over a period of 3 days or more may not cause significant health issues.
Although, how much people drink depends more on the price, availability and
marketing, and not a health risk.
Complete article: Science Focus (BBC), January, 2023.
Rivers in addition to transport and distribute water, the
supply nutrients and sediments to downstream and oceans. While most
anthropogenic activities lead to soil erosion (that elevate sediment and
nutrient washoff in rivers), dam construction works on the contrary. This is
further affected by the frequency and intensity of precipitation events, caused
by climate change. A study by Deither et al. analysed sediment flux changes in
414 rivers worldwide using satellite data obtained between 1984—2020 (approximately
130,000 measurements).
Field measurements to study the dynamics of sedimentation
characterization as the frequency of sampling would be too expensive, where
image analysis could be beneficial, and irrespective of inaccessibility due to
remoteness or terrain difficulty. The study found a 50% reduction in sediment
flux in river of Northern Hemisphere, mainly as a result of entrapment of
sediments in the dam. Simultaneously a 40% increase in suspended sediments was
observed in the Southern Hemisphere, specially due to deforestation and mining
and agricultural activities. Another modeling study on sediment retention in
Mekong River showed that as little as 4% of the total sediment load is expected
to reach the river delta. While dams and other measures of entrapment reduce
sediment transport, agricultural and mining activities release much more than
what has been trapped.
Changes in sediment fluxes have huge impact on the stability
of river systems, their geomorphology, ecology and socioeconomic activities.
Increased sedimentation may lead to ecosystem change, increase in flood risk,
and increasing frequent dredging for removal of sediments and avail paths for
navigation. In the meantime, decrease in sedimentation may starve ecosystems,
affecting the food chain and socioeconomic activities that depend on them and
aggravating erosion of sediments.
Environmental activities are always dynamic, and will
change. However, sudden and frequent changes may have a dire effect on the
entities discussed above. A clear strategy to manage sediment transport in
rivers and subsequent ocean beds is therefore critical. For devising of
effective management plans, studies are required to analyse the history,
develop models to make predictions and the management protocols should be
aligned to the predictions made.
Complete article: Science, June 24, 2022, page 1386.
Atop Indian Himalayas there lies a 4-metre liquid mirror
telescope with a retractable roof(left) sits next to two optical telescopes. It
appears as if someone scooped up a piece of the Bolivian salt flats, the
world’s largest natural mirror, and put it in the Himalayas. The basin is part
of a unique telescope. Situated in an observatory in the northern Indian state
of Uttarakhand, the International Liquid Mirror Telescope (ILMT)uses the pool
of shiny metal to gather light from the skies.
After a decade of works, ILMT, largest of its kind, and the
first built to carry out astronomical observations was opened this year.
According to Paul Hickson at the University of British Columbia in Canada, he
states that “The idea was, if we can find a reflective liquid and rotate it
with a very precise control system, it would focus light from above onto a
detector and we could use that as a telescope”.
In the early 1900s, Robert Wood made a notable attempt but
due to inability in maintaining the dish that held the metal spin at constant
speed it failed. In1982, Ermanno Borra at Laval University in Quebec, Canada
suggested dampening vibrations by pumping a thin layer of air between the basin
that holds the mercury and the motor that rotates it, he also mentioned to pour
the liquid resin on the dish surface first, letting it dry into the right
shape, then pouring reflective liquid onto it as a coating, cutting down the
amount of mercury needed. According to the suggestions of Borra and his
colleagues, an experimental 2.7-metre-wide liquid mirror telescope near
Vancouver, Canada was built. It was used to study the sodium layer in Earth’s
atmosphere, but it wasn’t suitable for space observations, because of the
cloudy weather near Vancouver.
Conventional instruments use glass mirrors to reflect light
coming from stars and other cosmic objects. The mirror surface be polished
smooth to a fraction of the wavelength of light which is almost impossible in
large telescopes. One work around is making several smaller mirrors and then
aligning them to form a big surface. The 4-metre ILMT cost around$2million,
whereas the 3.6-metre optical telescope costs $17million. However, cost savings
are irrelevant if we can’t build a working liquid mirror telescope.
There were several challenges in the project, getting enough
mercury, coronavirus pandemic and so on. However, a strong determination kept
the project alive. Unlike regular telescopes, which can point to different
places, a liquid mirror telescope can only look straight up at the patch of sky
overhead, which astronomers call the zenith. It was a good way of detecting
objects that appear fleetingly, such as supernovae and passing asteroids.
Another advantage of the ILMT is its location, right next to India’s biggest
optical telescope. If astronomers spot something interesting through the ILMT,
they can follow up with the other instrument.
Although these are cheaper to build liquid mirrors are
tougher in construction. In the ILMT, the mirror dish floats on an air layer
about10micrometres thick, much thinner than a human hair. Getting the resulting
4-metre-widedish up to the observatory, which is at elevation 2450 meters, was
also quite an expedition. Finally, in early 2022, Hickson and Surdej achieved
the first viable observation in the second week of May. The telescope is only
operational for about eight to nine months a year, taking a break between July
and October during monsoon season.
Observations so far include a rich stellar field in the
Milky Way and NGC4274, a galaxy in the Coma Berenices constellation. The
ultimate dream, for astrophysicist Anna Schauer at the University of Texas at
Austin at least, is to build a giant liquid telescope on the lunar surface, to
peer at the first stars in the universe. To do so, scientists would need a
telescope with an incredibly large mirror. This would be practically impossible
to manufacture and extremely expensive to put on the moon–unless it is made of
ionic liquid. Such a huge project is likely to take decades to materialize. But
the ILMT’s opening, after years of preparation, makes Schauer hopeful.
Complete article: New Scientist, December 10, 2022, page
41.
The article appeared on Scientific American discusses the
ability of AI to write novel content in academic language with in-cite
references in the right places and in relation to the right context. The author
claims to have experimented with the AI called GPT-3, and discusses the issues
on legalities and ethics of academic publishing and philosophical arguments on
nonhuman authorship. THE GPT-3 is claimed to have writing creative pieces of
article for example, opnion piece, a book on poetry and a new content from an
18th century author. Although academics papers have been written on
the ability of GPT-3, the author claimed to have observed none that had
authorship of GPT-3.
The GPT-3 develops several arguments on a context and picks
the best suitable, and the author has given prompts regarding the structure of
the academic paper with no more human intervention. The experiment was the AI to write an
academic paper on AI itself, which was produced in less than two hours
according to the article. The author discusses the questions he had when
submitting the paper for publication regarding authorship and if authors had
conflict of interest, and how he solved them. AI not not being sentient, asking
if it had any conflict of interest raised concerns, the author claims. Several
questions were raised in the article, for example;
1. Will journal editors require proof of human
authorship in all publications? And that they have not used GPT-3 or similar
AI.
2. If in case they used, does it need to be given
authorship?
3. Could AI be ever given first author status?
It is time, future authorship of academic publication need
to be revised.
Complete article: Scientific American, September, 2022,
page 73.
Some Mercedes-Benz S-Class cars can drive themselves
unaided, as long as you are in a specific car park in Germany. It is somewhat
impressive, but disappointing given new Scientist proclaimed 15 years ago that
a fully driverless car “may not be far off” The US start-up Cruise, which
started providing a taxi service in San Francisco this year, is conducting what
is arguably the most ambitious autonomous trial to yet. There are no drivers
present, and the only people inside are customers. Everything has gone rather
well, except for the sporadic stopping and blocking of traffic.
City streets can be challenging to navigate, so Cruise
initially only offered rides at night, when streets were quieter and limited
operation to San Francisco, which it has extensively mapped. Cruise initially
only offered rides at night, when streets were quieter. It is, nonetheless,
proof that driverless cars are possible and is a vital step to convincing
people that the technology’s time is near. According to varying levels of car
automation, as defined by the standards body SAE International level 0, levels
1,2, 3, and level 4 and level 5 indicates conventional car, driver-aided cars,
full automation in “limited conditions” and total autonomy, all the time
respectively.
Taxi services can sidestep problems by pausing operations if
problems are spotted, without angering taxi drivers. Breckon says creating AI
Making different models for every market is prohibitively expensive, so the
software needs to be capable of handling all of it. Private car automation
isn’t being entirely neglected, however, as is shown by Mercedes-Benz’s
announcement this month that its S-Class model will now offer level
4automation, albeit only in one car park at Stuttgart airport, where it can park
itself with help from sensors dotted around the area. The Tesla company also
faces legal challenges over using the word “self-driving” in its
marketing material. A level 4 car could still be more than five years from
going on sale, and firms may never actually sell them to the public, says
Breckon. If there’s a sudden spate of pedestrian deaths, they could have their
autopilot function switched off, he says.
Complete article: New Scientist, December 17, 2022, page
13
Ocean covers more than 70% of the earth’s surface and as
such, most rain fall over the oceans compared to land. However, lightening at
sea is surprisingly rare which is revealed in a study as the salt spray getting
in between clouds. The upper parts of the cloud freeze into a mixture of
granular, rounded snow pellets called graupel and microscopic ice crystals.
These ice and snow upon colliding with each other, transfer electric charges
where the graupels tend to accumulate negative charges while the smaller ice
crystals end up with positive charge.
Due to the updrafts of air, smaller ice crystals reach the
top of the cloud while the graupels sink to the bottom, generating an
electrical field between the top and bottom edges of the cloud. Depending on
the charge difference, plausibility of a lightning event is triggered. When
large water-absorbent particles of sea salt (from ocean spray) are present, the
tiny droplets that condense on microscopic dust and soot to form clouds grow
much more rapidly, becomes heavy enough to fall as rain well before the cloud
forms tall enough. Although this idea was suggested before, a study by
researchers from China, Israel and the U.S. experimentally found that the areas
with salt spray had 90% less lightning. However, other factors also may
contribute to the phenomenon such as atmospheric differences caused by local
weather conditions such as wind and temperature, the researchers claimed.
Complete article: Scientific American, December, 2022,
page 16.
More than 98% of Iran’s 1.648 million km2 of land
is subsiding. A subsidence at a rate of 4 cm/year is considered a crisis, while
it was observed to be 6 cm/year in Iran, attributed to 25 years of water level
decline. Major contributors were identified to be dam construction, climate
change, inefficient water consumption by agriculture and industries and over
extraction of groundwater. Subsidence will severely affect buildings, bridges,
transportation lines and energy transmission in urban areas and can turn arable
land in to dessert. Implementation of a integrated water resources management
is critical in revival mission.
Complete article: Science, June 17, 2022, page 6599.
Before we get to the discussion on the topic, let us talk a
bit about cilium. Cilium is a membrane-bound organelle found on most types of
eukaryotic cell and they do no exist in bacteria and archaea. It is of the
shape of a tube protruding from the larger cell body. One piece of cilium may
not be of much benefit, however, when in groups they contribute to fluid flow. Cilia remove inhaled pathogens
from respiratory tract, carry cerebrospinal fluid across brain cavities,
transport eggs from the ovary to the uterus, and rain mucus from the middle ear
to the nasal cavity.
Laboratory based artificial cilia are used in chips are
expected to control fluids’ miniscule flow patterns. This concept currently in
research status is believed by researchers to be used in testing blood, urine
and other fluids to diagnose illnesses with efficiency more than that observed
from the laboratory tests. In addition, this may only require much smaller
volume of fluid samples compared to that required for laboratory testing.
Studies from the past have attempted to make artificial cilia that can be moved
using pressure, lightl, electricity and even magnets, while the major obstacle
then was to produce tiny actuators, that triggered the motion. A study created
cilium 1/20 of a millimetre long and 10 nm thick, with a strip of platinum on
one side and a coating of titanium on the other. The article discusses the
concept behind the functional attributes of artificial cilium, triggered by
fluid flow. Running a low positive voltage triggers chemical reaction and frees
oxygen from water molecules in the fluid. This results in bending of cilium,
and is returned to original status once the voltage is reversed. Alternating
this induces an oscillation in cilia, creating waves that move the fluid.
Complete article: Scientific American, September, 2022,
page 18.
Turbulent swirls of water, ranging in size from a few
kilometers to hundreds of kilometers across, peel off large ocean currents and
mix heat and carbon dioxide into deeper ocean layers. They are the most
energetic feature of the ocean, critical to getting climate models right yet
largely invisible to satellites, except when they happen to sweep up a massive
bloom of green phytoplankton.
After the launch of the Surface Water and Ocean Topography
(SWOT) satellite, a joint venture between NASA and CNES, the French space
agency, the ebb and flow of rivers and lakes will snap into focus. The
satellite will capture eddies as small as 7 kilometers across and cover nearly
the entire globe every 21 days. On land, SWOT will be able to map the changing
height of more than 6 million lakes, from the Great Lakes down to ponds,
capturing flows in rivers wider than 100 meters.
For nearly 4 decades, NASA and CNES have launched a series
of radar altimeter satellites, which have monitored the accelerating rise of
global sea levels, a basic indicator of climate change. With the aid of two
5-meter booms, each bearing an antenna to catch reflections of the radar signal
SWOT pulses to Earth’s surface and gains a sharper view. With SWOT, seasonal
changes in lakes and rivers can be precisely observed. SWOT will be able to
chart how the levels of the world’s major rivers drop each time a dam or weir
interrupts them, and how severely that fragments aquatic habitats. Moreover,
SWOT will capture flood waters as they move downriver, which should help flood
modelers.
Sönke Dangendorf, a physical oceanographer at Tulane
University states that at the coastlines, SWOT will provide a detailed picture
of how hot spots of sea level rise in the open ocean influence coastal
inundation. Small eddies might warm nearby waters, fueling stronger hurricanes,
thus trapping more heat at the depth too. This must be considered as there are
many dwellers along the coasts
Complete article: New Scientist, December 17, 2022, page
13
Engineers in Germany have glued 18 solar panels to the
outside of a huge tank of hot water for a German utility. It’s not the typical
home for solar panels – most are flat, rigid silicon and glass rectangles
arrayed on rooftops or at solar parks. Those are ultrathin organic films made
by Heliatek, a German solar company. The goal is to expand solar power’s reach
beyond flat land. “There is a huge market where classical photovoltaics do not
work,” says Jan Birnstock, Heliatek’s chief technical officer. Organic
photovoltaics (OPVs) such as Heliatek’s are more than 10 times lighter than
silicon panels and cost just half as much to produce. Some are even
transparent, which has architects envisioning solar panels, not just on
rooftops, but incorporated into building facades, windows, and even indoor
spaces. In the past few decades, researchers have come up with materials and
designs that have reached efficiencies of nearly 20%, approaching silicon and
alternative inorganic thin-film solar cells. OPVs allow them to tweak bonds,
rearrange atoms, and mix elements from across the periodic table. Those changes
represent flexibility to improve their materials’ ability to absorb sunlight,
conduct charges, and resist degradation.
Solar energy is being added to the power grid at a massive
rate, with more than 200 gigawatts coming online annually, enough to power 150
million homes. But solar and other green energy sources aren’t growing nearly
fast enough to meet growing demand and forestall catastrophic climate change.
Starting from global economic development, population growth, and the expected
shift of much of the world’s cars and trucks from petroleum to electricity, the
world’s electricity demand is expected to double by 2050. Countries must
install renewables at four times the current pace to achieve global net zero
carbon emissions by 2050.
All solar cells are sandwich-like devices, with
semiconductors in the middle that absorb photons and convert them to electrical
charges, which then migrate to metallic electrodes layered. When sunlight
strikes silicon cells, the added energy kicks electrons out of their orbits
around individual silicon atoms, freeing them. Each excited electron leaves
behind an electron vacancy which flows to a cathode and electrons flow to the
anode, creating an electric current. However, organic semiconductors tend to
hold onto their charges more tightly. When OPVs absorb sunlight, there’s enough
energy to kick an electron out of its atomic orbit, but not enough for the
positive and negative charges to split up and move, these opposite charges
stick to each other, creating what is known as an exciton. To generate
electricity, the excitons must be separated into positive and negative charges
that can travel to their respective electrodes. Over the decades, OPV
researchers have sought to improve the performance of their devices by coming
up with improved donors and acceptors. By incorporating soccer-ball-shaped
carbon compounds called fullerenes into the materials efficiency above 5% was
reachable. The fullerenes’ hunger for electrons makes them powerful acceptors.
For the next decade, the action shifted to the donors. By 2012, a series of
novel semi-conducting polymers used as donors propelled efficiencies to 12%.
A rival thin-film solar technology called perovskites came
to progress. Perovskites are blends of organic and inorganic compounds that are
cheap to make, easy to process, and great at capturing sunlight and converting
it to electricity. While OPV progress stalled, the efficiency of perovskites
skyrocketed from about 6.5% in 2012 to about 24% in 2020. Today, perovskites
remain hot. But challenges with long-term stability and their reliance on toxic
elements have sapped some enthusiasm. Meanwhile, OPVs soon got a burst of
innovation of their own.
In 2015, researchers led by Xiaowei Zhan reported the first of a new class of
non-fullerene acceptors (NFAs) , it was only about 7% efficient. By 2016, new
NFAs pushed OPV efficiency to 11.5%. By 2018, they hit 16%. And the records
keep coming. Last year, Larson and his colleagues combined multiple donors, an
NFA, and fullerene in a single layer, they created a material that enabled
excitons to live longer which pushed its efficiency up to 18.4%. Silicon solar
cells command an $85-billion-a-year market, with a 30-year track record and
proven durability whereas OPVs remain niche products. U.S. startups Ubiquitous
Energy and NextEnergy are developing energy generating OPV windows that
primarily capture infrared photons while allowing visible light to pass
through, something CIGS and other opaque thin films can’t do. r OPVs to become
a significant source of green energy efficiency and durability must be
concerned. Organics such as polymers and NFAs can be dissolved in solvents and
machine-coated over large areas. But each layer in the sandwich like device must
be completely smooth, with few or no imperfections, which can trap moving
charges and reduce the overall efficiency. Controlling the makeup of the
central layer of the sandwich containing the donors and acceptors. The
intertwining ribbons of donors and acceptors must be extremely thin, because
excitons created when photons strike the material can only migrate about 20
nanometers before the charges recombine and the opportunity to generate
electricity is lost. Min’s team tailored a popular approach for manufacturing
thin films at high speed called blade coating. Min’s team also calculates that
the faster manufacturing rate could drop OPV costs more than 10-fold and make
the price per kilowatt-hour (kWh) competitive with silicon. The major
consideration should be whether such cells will retain the internal structure
needed for high efficiency over decades. NFAs are especially susceptible,
because the best ones consist of small molecules that can easily shift through
the material. NFAs were replaced with acceptors woven into long polymers to
help keep them in place. Hong Kong, reported all-polymer solar cells that had
an efficiency of 17% and retained 90% of their efficiency under accelerated
aging tests. However, under intense exposure to the ultraviolet (UV) in
sunlight, the organics in solar cells can degrade. Forrest and his colleagues
reported adding a thin layer of UV-absorbing zinc oxide—the same material in
some sunscreens—to their OPV, which extended its life up to 30 years in
accelerated aging tests.
OPVs already have a clear advantage over just about every
other energy generating technology with a strikingly low carbon footprint to
lighten further as their efficiency continues to set new records, lifetimes
climb, and production methods advance. Those trends are buoying hopes of a
world where solar power spreads along the curved facades of skyscrapers, the
windows of the world which could make prospects for addressing climate CREDITS:
change just a little bit brighter.
Complete article: Science, November 11, 2022, page 588.
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